Canada 0–3 Morocco: World Cup 2026 Round of 16 Match Report
Round of 16
Canada
0 – 3
Morocco
FINAL
Morocco won the Round of 16 tie by an emphatic 3 goals, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated Morocco 77% favourites going in, and they duly delivered. They advance to the next round; for Canada, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Canada a 23% chance of winning versus 77% for Morocco.
Today's Matches & Predictions
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 1700 | ▲ +27 | 1727 | #30 | 1.9% |
| Morocco | 1910 | ▲ +97 | 2007 | #8 | 2.6% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.