Brazil 1–2 Norway: World Cup 2026 Round of 16 Match Report
Round of 16
Brazil
1 – 2
Norway
FINAL
Norway won the Round of 16 tie by a single goal, a notable upset: pre-match ratings gave Norway just a 14% chance, making this one of the standout results of the round. They advance to the next round; for Brazil, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Brazil a 86% chance of winning versus 14% for Norway.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Vinicius Junior (Brazil)
- Erling Haaland (Norway)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | 2080 | ▲ +20 | 2100 | #3 | 2.8% |
| Norway | 1760 | ▲ +71 | 1831 | #20 | 2.1% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.