Bosnia & Herzegovina 3–1 Qatar: World Cup 2026 Group B Match Report
Group Stage · Group B · Matchday 3
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 – 1
Qatar
FINAL
Bosnia & Herzegovina claimed all three points by a comfortable two-goal margin, a result that was something of a surprise given the pre-match ELO ratings. Bosnia & Herzegovina entered this fixture as underdogs.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Bosnia & Herzegovina a 53% chance of winning versus 47% for Qatar.
Today's Matches & Predictions
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | 1640 | ▼ -20 | 1620 | #38 | 1.7% |
| Qatar | 1620 | ▼ -35 | 1585 | #44 | 1.6% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group B Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland ✓ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada ✓ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | 1 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.