Belgium 3–2 Senegal: World Cup 2026 Round of 32 Match Report
Round of 32
Belgium
3 – 2
Senegal
FINAL
Belgium won the Round of 32 tie by a single goal, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated Belgium 82% favourites going in, and they duly delivered. They advance to the next round; for Senegal, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Belgium a 82% chance of winning versus 18% for Senegal.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Ismaïla Sarr (Senegal)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 1990 | ▼ -5 | 1985 | #9 | 2.5% |
| Senegal | 1730 | ▼ -3 | 1727 | #31 | 1.9% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.