Belgium 1–1 Egypt: World Cup 2026 Group G Match Report
Group Stage · Group G · Matchday 1
Belgium
1 – 1
Egypt
FINAL
A hard-fought draw, with both sides sharing the spoils. The result leaves the Group G standings tightly contested heading into the remaining fixtures.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Belgium a 74% chance of winning versus 26% for Egypt.
Today's Matches & Predictions
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 1990 | ▼ -14 | 1976 | #9 | 2.5% |
| Egypt | 1810 | ▲ +14 | 1824 | #21 | 2.1% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group G Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico ✓ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Korea Republic ✓ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Czechia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | South Africa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- Belgium vs Iran — 2026-06-21 (Los Angeles)
- Egypt vs New Zealand — 2026-06-21 (Vancouver)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.