Argentina 3–1 Switzerland: World Cup 2026 Quarter-Final Match Report
Quarter-Final
Argentina
3 – 1
Switzerland
FINAL
Argentina won the Quarter-Final tie by a two-goal margin, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated Argentina 84% favourites going in, and they duly delivered. They advance to the next round; for Switzerland, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Argentina a 84% chance of winning versus 16% for Switzerland.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Lionel Messi (Argentina)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 2150 | ▲ +34 | 2184 | #1 | 3.0% |
| Switzerland | 1860 | ▲ +92 | 1952 | #11 | 2.4% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.