Argentina 3–2 Egypt: World Cup 2026 Round of 16 Match Report
Round of 16
Argentina
3 – 2
Egypt
FINAL
Argentina won the Round of 16 tie by a single goal, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated Argentina 88% favourites going in, and they duly delivered. They advance to the next round; for Egypt, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Argentina a 88% chance of winning versus 12% for Egypt.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Lionel Messi (Argentina)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 2150 | ▲ +34 | 2184 | #1 | 3.0% |
| Egypt | 1810 | ▲ +64 | 1874 | #19 | 2.2% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.