Argentina 3–2 Cabo Verde: World Cup 2026 Round of 32 Match Report
Round of 32
Argentina
3 – 2
Cabo Verde
FINAL
Argentina won the Round of 32 tie by a single goal, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated Argentina 98% favourites going in, and they duly delivered. They advance to the next round; for Cabo Verde, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Argentina a 98% chance of winning versus 2% for Cabo Verde.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Lionel Messi (Argentina)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 2150 | ▲ +25 | 2175 | #1 | 3.0% |
| Cabo Verde | 1500 | ▲ +61 | 1561 | #43 | 1.6% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.